Key Messages
Updated at 613 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
- Mild sunny days and cool clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected for at least the next 7 days, and likely longer.
- Drought conditions are going to worsen.
Short Term
(Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1026 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
A very dry surface ridge centered over the Great Lakes and New England will continue to extend down across TN and all the way to the Gulf Coast through the next several days. The pattern of cool crisp nights and mild sunny days will continue. Very low RH values each afternoon will bring concerns for fires, but thankfully winds will be light.
Long Term
(Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1026 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
The temperature trends and rain-free pattern will be stable through next week. The ridge may weaken enough for some rain chances as we head into November, but this potential is unclear at this time. Drought conditions will continue to worsen.
Aviation
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 613 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
VFR conditions through the TAF period with mainly clear skies. Light north winds under 6 knots.
Preliminary Point Temps/Pops
Nashville 46 77 48 77 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 45 76 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 39 71 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 43 78 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 43 73 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 41 71 43 71 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 42 76 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 43 78 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 46 75 47 76 / 0 0 0 0
Ohx Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.
SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....13 AVIATION.....Mueller